The impact of US presidential endorsements
The first primary event of the US presidential nomination season – the Iowa caucuses – are now in. All the talk is of relative momentum between the candidates, and momentum … Continue reading
Update: US Presidential primaries
4 February 2016 – Iowa caucuses aftermath The primary elections and caucuses commenced on Monday 1 February with the Iowa caucuses. The next event is the New Hampshire primary election on 8 February. Three … Continue reading
Iowa: watch out for the turnout rates
One of the final polls before Iowa’s caucuses tonight has support among Republican voters for Donald Trump at 28%, Ted Cruz at 23% and Marco Rubio at 15%. It’s been … Continue reading
Sanders’ campaign breaks supporter record
Just hours before the Iowa caucuses are held, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders’ campaign for the Democratic nomination to the US presidency has announced a record-breaking number of donations from individual Americans. … Continue reading
Myanmar: NLD could blow the presidential ballot
Myanmar held it’s first democratic election in over three decades last November. It went off peacefully, and had a remarkable result. It represents only a partial return to democracy. The … Continue reading
Who’ll win what in Iowa?
The Iowa caucuses – the first event in the US presidential primary season – are just a few days away. Only the brave should venture predictions here. The polling – … Continue reading
Polls show gains for Sinn Féin
Polling in advance of the upcoming Irish elections indicate the historic possibility of the progressive nationalist party Sinn Féin becoming the official opposition. Éire is presently governed by a powerful … Continue reading
US primaries: Polls deflate claims of Sanders’ surge
A report today (26 January) in the prominent progressive political news and comment service Daily Kos is offering aggregate polling estimates of the race for the Democratic party’s presidential nomination in 2016. … Continue reading
Forecasting the 2016 ACT election
The Australian Capital Territory will elect it’s 9th Legislative Assembly in October this year. The Assembly will be expanded for the first time to 25 seats. This means new electoral … Continue reading
ACT 2016: Has Labor given the Liberals a chance?
In the ACT, the Labor-Greens loose coalition goes into the 2016 election attempting to secure a 5th term of government (well, for Labor, at least…the coalition has existed for only … Continue reading