UK Election 2017 – Polling and predictions
Final polls before Thursday’s British general election are proving surprisingly diverse, with estimates of the gap between the governing Conservatives and the Labour party across England and Wales varying from … Continue reading
Americans are voting, perhaps in record numbers
Across America – and around the world – there is the clattering sound of dice rolling today. And the dice are loaded. All forecasters agree that Hillary Clinton is much more … Continue reading
As tensions rise in US elections, leading pollsters feud over methods
The leaders of two of America’s major polling services are at loggerheads over whether FiveThirtyEight.com’s predictions about Donald Trump becoming president are reliable. The 2016 elections have seen more polls … Continue reading
Americans have little control over their Representatives
The United States House of Representatives is the first institution described in detail in the text of the US Constitution, but it normally comes a distant third behind the presidency … Continue reading
7 days to go in US elections
In seven days’ time the results of the US elections will be blazing from news services around the world. What are the predictions one week out? The most established of … Continue reading
US election: tracking who is winning
As the world anxiously watches the race for the United States presidency, a variety of opinion-tracking services are desperately trying to predict who is winning. The third presidential debate takes … Continue reading
Trump sees off last rival
Ohio Governor John Kasich didn’t hang on in the race for the Republican presidential nomination in the United States. His withdrawal late on Wednesday would seem to confirm that the party … Continue reading
Republican delegate selection for March 1
March 1 will be the biggest day on the 2016 calendar for choosing candidate delegates to the Republican Party Convention taking place in July. All eyes are on the relative … Continue reading
Markets dump stock in rivals to Clinton and Trump
The insightful Iowa Electronic Market – an online real-investment prediction market that has tracked US elections since 2000 – is moving sharply to predict the next Republican and Democratic nominees … Continue reading
Trust the punters to predict an election
Since the 2000 election year, one of the more intriguing predictors of US political outcomes has been the Iowa Electronic Market. Run out of the University of Iowa’s College of Business, … Continue reading
On Elections 