The Republican establishment’s three-body problem
The 2016 race for the Republican nomination for US president looks destined to become a historic case study in three-sided single-winner electoral contests. The Democrats, ironically, are showing just how simple … Continue reading
Rubio leads the Republican race
Iowa is over. You’ve seen the media: Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders tied for the Democrats, and Ted Cruz beat Donald Trump for the Republican race. Many pundits, however, see … Continue reading
The impact of US presidential endorsements
The first primary event of the US presidential nomination season – the Iowa caucuses – are now in. All the talk is of relative momentum between the candidates, and momentum … Continue reading
Update: US Presidential primaries
4 February 2016 – Iowa caucuses aftermath The primary elections and caucuses commenced on Monday 1 February with the Iowa caucuses. The next event is the New Hampshire primary election on 8 February. Three … Continue reading
Iowa: watch out for the turnout rates
One of the final polls before Iowa’s caucuses tonight has support among Republican voters for Donald Trump at 28%, Ted Cruz at 23% and Marco Rubio at 15%. It’s been … Continue reading
Sanders’ campaign breaks supporter record
Just hours before the Iowa caucuses are held, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders’ campaign for the Democratic nomination to the US presidency has announced a record-breaking number of donations from individual Americans. … Continue reading
Who’ll win what in Iowa?
The Iowa caucuses – the first event in the US presidential primary season – are just a few days away. Only the brave should venture predictions here. The polling – … Continue reading
US primaries: Polls deflate claims of Sanders’ surge
A report today (26 January) in the prominent progressive political news and comment service Daily Kos is offering aggregate polling estimates of the race for the Democratic party’s presidential nomination in 2016. … Continue reading
Americans running amok in primary season
Where on earth are the Americans leading us all? It matters to the world who the Americans elect as their president. With an angry, volatile electorate, economic recession in many … Continue reading
On Elections 