Markets dump stock in rivals to Clinton and Trump
The insightful Iowa Electronic Market – an online real-investment prediction market that has tracked US elections since 2000 – is moving sharply to predict the next Republican and Democratic nominees … Continue reading
Clinton cleans up in South Carolina
Hillary Clinton has decisively regained momentum in the race for the Democratic party presidential nomination, winning 74% of the vote in South Carolina. Her win is easily the most dominant … Continue reading
Las Vegas win for Trump
Republican candidate Donald Trump has registered his best performance in the first four states holding presidential primaries with just under 46% of the vote in the state of Nevada. Key remaining … Continue reading
Update: US Presidential primaries
27 February – South Carolina Democratic primary 23 February – Nevada Republican caucus 20 February – South Carolina Republican primary 20 February – Nevada Democratic caucus In the past 10 days Donald Trump has easily won presidential nomination contests in … Continue reading
Trump caravan momentum grows again
New York Billionaire Donald Trump has – as was widely expected – prevailed in the Republican primary election in South Carolina. In a field with the vote divided between five significant … Continue reading
Trust the punters to predict an election
Since the 2000 election year, one of the more intriguing predictors of US political outcomes has been the Iowa Electronic Market. Run out of the University of Iowa’s College of Business, … Continue reading
Democrats could regain US Senate, but not for long
While most media attention on United States politics is focused on the potential nominations for President for the November 2016 elections, 34 United States Senate seats are also falling vacant. The … Continue reading
Judge’s death triggers bitter election year battle
The 2016 United States election year has taken a dramatic turn with the unexpected death of the US Supreme Court’s most controversial judge, Justice Antonin Scalia. Supreme Court judges are … Continue reading
Trump, Sanders win presidential races in New Hampshire
As expected, Donald Trump secured a solid win today in the New Hampshire election of delegates to help decide the 2016 Republican nominee for President. [Update 11 February: 100% of … Continue reading
Update: US Presidential primaries
10-11 February 2016 – New Hampshire results Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders each won their presidential nomination contests in New Hampshire today, underlining the anti-establishment mood of voters in both parties. Two … Continue reading
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