Update: US Presidential primaries
27 February – South Carolina Democratic primary
23 February – Nevada Republican caucus
20 February – South Carolina Republican primary
20 February – Nevada Democratic caucus
In the past 10 days Donald Trump has easily won presidential nomination contests in South Carolina and Nevada against a divided – but shrinking – field of rivals.
Hillary Clinton also won her party’s contest in Nevada and South Carolina over her sole rival Bernie Sanders.
Clinton retains her large lead in the Democratic delegate count. Trump has decisively moved into the lead in the Republican count.
Latest vote totals and delegate counts (including proportions of total party convention delegates) are set out below.
REPUBLICAN Party nominee:
| Candidate |
total national votes so far |
convention delegates |
qualified* |
| Donald Trump |
420,215 |
82 (3.3%) |
✗ (2) |
| Senator Ted Cruz |
265,724 |
17 (0.7% |
✗ |
| Senator Marco Rubio |
257,018 |
14 (0.6%) |
✗ |
| Governor John Kasich |
107,298 |
5 (0.2%) |
✗ |
| Ben Carson |
80,849 |
5 (0.2%) |
✗ |
| Jeb Bush |
94,475 |
3 |
|
| Senator Rand Paul |
10,551 |
2 |
|
| Governor Chris Christie |
24,403 |
1 |
|
| Carly Fiorina |
15,213 |
1 |
|
| yet to be selected |
2,342 (94.7%) |
||
| Total delegates |
2,472 |
|
(*A Republican candidate needs to accumulate 8 state delegation majorities to be eligible to put their name forward at the party Convention.)
Withdrawals since the beginning of February: Mike Huckabee (1 February), Rand Paul (3 February), Rick Santorum (4 February), Carly Fiorina (10 February), Chris Christie (10 February), Jim Gilmour (12 February), Jeb Bush (20 February)
DEMOCRATIC Party nominee:
| Candidate |
total national |
convention |
| Hillary Clinton |
458,175 |
291 – (6.1%) |
| Senator Bernie Sanders |
337,872 |
68 – (1.4%) |
| yet to be selected |
3,896 (81.8%) |
|
| uncommitted official delegates |
506 (10.6%) |
|
| Total delegates |
4,764 |
(* Totals include caucus state figures which are estimates, and which also undervalue the caucus states’ contributions to total votes in comparison to results from primary election states.)
These tallies include the support of elected Democratic delegates that have been confirmed by public endorsements. Such delegates are unbound and their vote can change at the convention (and see observations by Nate Silver at 538.com.)
Withdrawals since the beginning of February: Martin O’Malley (1 February)
The next primary event is the multi-state ‘Super Tuesday’ elections held on Tuesday March 1. The Republican party will hold primaries in 14 states, and the Democratic party will do so in 11 states.
Original Preview article (19 January 2016)
On Elections 