On Elections

How people elect parliaments

Update: US Presidential primaries

1 March – ‘Super Tuesday’

Hillary Clinton has all but secured her party’s nomination with dominance over Senator Bernie Sanders across 8 of 12 jurisdictions holding Democratic party primaries. Sanders’ four wins were in small or medium sized states.

Republican results on super Tuesday heavily favoured Donald Trump. Trump has yet to secure the Republican nomination, but is noticeably in the lead over Senator Ted Cuz and Senator Marco Rubio.

5-6 March

On the following weekend honours were divided within each party. For the Republican party Trump won 2 states, Cruz 2, and Rubio swept the territory of Puerto Rico. For the Democratic party Sanders won 2 states and Clinton 1.

So far 10.4 million voters have participated in the Republican primary elections, a significantly greater turnout than the 7.0 millions so far voting in the Democratic contests.

Latest vote totals and delegate counts (including proportions of total party convention delegates) are set out below.


REPUBLICAN Party nominee:

Donald Trump

Candidate

votes 

convention delegates 

state delegate majorities*

Donald Trump

3,579,313

334  (13.5)

5

Senator Ted Cruz

2,982,879

230  (9.3%)

3

Senator Marco Rubio

2,237,042

116  (4.7%)

1

Governor John Kasich

708,303

27  (1.1%)

Ben Carson

577,720

10

Jeb Bush

169,548

4

 

Senator Rand Paul

35,187

2

 
Carly Fiorina

24,851

1

 
yet to be selected

1,748  (70.7%)

Total delegates

2,472

 

(The initial Republican precinct caucuses in Colorado, Wyoming and North Dakota were held on 1 March. These events do not directly determine convention delegates, but set in train the series of district and state party meetings which eventually do so.)

(*A Republican candidate needs to accumulate 8 state delegation majorities to be eligible to put their name forward at the party Convention.)

Withdrawals since the beginning of February: Mike Huckabee (1 February), Rand Paul (3 February), Rick Santorum (4 February), Carly Fiorina (10 February), Chris Christie (10 February), Jim Gilmour (12 February), Jeb Bush (20 February) and Ben Carson (2 March).


DEMOCRATIC Party nominee:

Hillary Clinton

Candidate

votes*

convention
delegates

Hillary Clinton

4,224978

863 – (18.1%)

Senator Bernie Sanders

2,706,619

470 – (9.9%)

yet to be selected

2,922 (61.3%)

uncommitted official delegates

506  (10.6%)

Total delegates

4,764

(* Totals include caucus state figures which are estimates, and which also undervalue the caucus states’ contributions to total votes in comparison to results from primary election states.)

Withdrawals since the beginning of February: Martin O’Malley (1 February)

Delegate tallies  for both parties include the support of elected delegates that have been confirmed by public endorsements. Such delegates are unbound and their vote can change at the convention (and see observations by Nate Silver at 538.com.)


 

The next primary events are the primaries for both parties in Michigan and Mississippi on Tuesday 8 March, together with the Republican primary election in Idaho and caucus in Hawaii, and the ballot for delegates for Democratic members living overseas.

These are followed by the Republican primaries in Guam and Washington DC on Saturday 12 March.

Following those events comes the major date of Tuesday 15 March, on which both parties will hold primaries in Florida, Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina and Ohio, as well as in the Northern Mariana Islands territory.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

Information

This entry was posted on March 3, 2016 by in Current issues, United States, US presidential primaries.
%d bloggers like this: